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DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical approach.The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.The model projects DeAndre Hopkins to accrue 9.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.DeAndre Hopkins's 73.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 97th percentile for WRs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (56.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the projection model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.The Tennessee offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.DeAndre Hopkins's receiving skills have worsened this year, averaging just 4.1 adjusted receptions vs 6.8 last year.
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