My Account Log Out
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 56.6% to 69.5%.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 51.8% Route% this year reflects a noteable decline in his passing game volume over last year's 86.5% rate.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has compiled far fewer air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (119.0 per game).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™