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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

While DeAndre Hopkins has been responsible for 13.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Tennessee's passing offense in this week's game at 19.5%.

DeAndre Hopkins's 69.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 56.6% mark.

DeAndre Hopkins's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, compiling 9.58 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.78 rate last year.

The Colts pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) versus wide receivers this year (74.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

After totaling 119.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has regressed heavily this year, now pacing 37.0 per game.

DeAndre Hopkins has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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