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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (68.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

DeAndre Hopkins's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteworthy improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 56.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.4 per game) this year.

The model projects DeAndre Hopkins to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack in this week's contest (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.9% in games he has played).

DeAndre Hopkins has put up quite a few less air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (116.0 per game).

DeAndre Hopkins's 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a meaningful regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 61.0 figure.

DeAndre Hopkins comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.23 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 13th percentile.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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