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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

DeAndre Hopkins has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (119.0 per game).

DeAndre Hopkins's 40.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 73.3.

DeAndre Hopkins's 45.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a material diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 61.0 rate.

With a lackluster 2.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (12th percentile) this year, DeAndre Hopkins has been among the best WRs in the league in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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