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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league this year.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a remarkable gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 56.6% figure.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's pass-catching efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.58 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.78 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has been used less as a potential target this year (54.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (86.5%).
  • After accruing 119.0 air yards per game last season, DeAndre Hopkins has significantly declined this season, now boasting 52.0 per game.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 61.0 figure.
  • With a weak 2.37 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (12th percentile) this year, DeAndre Hopkins ranks as one of the best WRs in the game in football in space.

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