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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.1% pass rate.
  • The Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs grades out as the best in the NFL this year.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 56.6% to 75.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.6 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 53.2% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a material drop-off in his passing attack utilization over last season's 86.5% figure.
  • After accumulating 119.0 air yards per game last season, DeAndre Hopkins has gotten worse this season, now pacing 46.0 per game.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 41.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a substantial decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 61.0 rate.

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