DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
In this week's game, DeAndre Hopkins is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.
DeAndre Hopkins has accumulated a colossal 108.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.
DeAndre Hopkins's 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 94th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
DeAndre Hopkins's 67.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 82.0 figure.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).

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