DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to notch 7.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
DeAndre Hopkins has been a key part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 28.6% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
DeAndre Hopkins has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (111.0 per game).
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

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