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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to accrue 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • After totaling 111.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has made big progress this year, now sitting at 116.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football (57.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Titans.
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.6 plays per game.
  • The the Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 72.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 82.0 figure.

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