My Account Log Out
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The leading projections forecast DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 9.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has posted a massive 106.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 73.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 99th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Titans to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Titans have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.0 plays per game.
  • The Titans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 66.3% to 63.2%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™