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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to garner 7.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 29.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has notched a whopping 107.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.

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