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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
  • In this week's game, DeAndre Hopkins is predicted by the model to rank in the 95th percentile among WRs with 9.8 targets.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has compiled many more air yards this season (119.0 per game) than he did last season (111.0 per game).
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 73.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Titans.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 55.0 per game on average).
  • The Titans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).

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