DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to total 8.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
DeAndre Hopkins has put up quite a few more air yards this season (124.0 per game) than he did last season (111.0 per game).
DeAndre Hopkins's 74.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for wideouts.
The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (168.0) to WRs this year.
This year, the poor Texans defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 9.28 yards.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Titans to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.5 plays per game.
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

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