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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to lean 2.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • The Titans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast DeAndre Hopkins to total 8.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • After totaling 111.0 air yards per game last season, DeAndre Hopkins has been rising this season, currently boasting 120.0 per game.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has been in the 95th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 72.3 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 63.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 82.0 figure.

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