DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:52 PM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to skew 1.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
The projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to total 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
In regards to air yards, DeAndre Hopkins ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among WRs this year, accruing a staggering 114.0 per game.
DeAndre Hopkins's 70.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 95th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Titans grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
DeAndre Hopkins's 67.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 82.0 figure.