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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-104/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Trace McSorley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • DeAndre Hopkins's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching a measly 2.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 rate last year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63.6%) versus wide receivers this year (63.6%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 7.26 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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