DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-102/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 83.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 83.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 11.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
DeAndre Hopkins has compiled many more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
DeAndre Hopkins's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, averaging a measly 8.67 yards-per-target vs a 9.78 mark last season.
DeAndre Hopkins's skills in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling a mere 2.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 figure last season.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 130.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the league.

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