DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to earn 10.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
DeAndre Hopkins's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this season, averaging just 2.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 rate last season.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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