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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to earn 10.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this season, averaging just 2.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 rate last season.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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