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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-260).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the goal line this week (27.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).

DeAndre Hopkins has notched far more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.8%) vs. wideouts this year (64.8%).

The Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wideouts: 0.54 per game this year.

The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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