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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears

DeAndre Carter Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Bears as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

While DeAndre Carter has been responsible for 2.1% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Chicago's pass game in this game at 12.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

DeAndre Carter has been one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 0.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 2nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Colts linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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