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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
DeAndre Carter Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.5% pass rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in football (73.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (73.8%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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