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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.09 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • DeAndre Carter has run fewer routes this year (73.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (41.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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