DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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DeAndre Carter

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Carter

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 2:10 AM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
DeAndre Carter has run fewer routes this year (68.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (41.2%).
DeAndre Carter has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).
DeAndre Carter has notched substantially more receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).
DeAndre Carter's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 61.1% to 77.7%.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) to wideouts this year (62.8%).
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Cleveland Browns defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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