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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
DeAndre Carter Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+393/-828).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -794 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -828.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeAndre Carter has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).
  • DeAndre Carter's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 61.1% to 77.7%.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have incorporated play action on 28.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) to wideouts this year (62.8%).
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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