DeAndre Carter Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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DeAndre Carter

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Carter

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Carter Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-448).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +301 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +265.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Carter to be much more involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (14.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.8% in games he has played).
DeAndre Carter has compiled significantly more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
DeAndre Carter's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 61.1% to 73.5%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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