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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
DeAndre Carter Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-448).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +301 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Carter to be much more involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (14.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.8% in games he has played).
  • DeAndre Carter has compiled significantly more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
  • DeAndre Carter's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 61.1% to 73.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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