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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Dawson Knox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

With an exceptional 61.4% snap rate (80th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox rates among the running backs with the most usage in the NFL.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

Dawson Knox's 71.1% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a material improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 64.8% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.

The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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