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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

With a sizeable 61.2% Snap% (79th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox has been among the running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Dawson Knox has accrued a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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