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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dawson Knox has played on 62.2% of his team's snaps this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Dawson Knox grades out in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with an astounding 8.1% of his team's air yards accumulated.

The Buffalo O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Dawson Knox's 75.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys an impressive boost in his receiving skills over last season's 64.8% figure.

Dawson Knox's 10.5 adjusted yards per target this season reflects an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last season's 5.9 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

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