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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week, Dawson Knox is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.5 targets.

While Dawson Knox has garnered 6.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Buffalo's passing attack in this game at 15.5%.

Dawson Knox has accounted for a staggering 8.6% of his offense's air yards this year: 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dawson Knox's 8.5 adjusted yards per target this season marks a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 5.9 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

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