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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.3% pass rate.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Dawson Knox's 8.9 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a significant progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 5.9 figure.

This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a staggering 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).

Dawson Knox has been used less as a potential target this year (44.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (56.5%).

Dawson Knox has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (13.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

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