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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dawson Knox has been on the field for 58.8% of his team's snaps last year, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Cardinals pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. tight ends last year, giving up 8.33 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

As far as a defense's impact on pace, at 28.35 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the 7th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense last year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

More Dawson Knox Player Props

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