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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.
  • Dawson Knox has run a route on 66.2% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • In this week's contest, Dawson Knox is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 75th percentile among TEs with 4.1 targets.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Giants pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.58 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 33.0 air yards per game last year, Dawson Knox has seen a big decrease this year, currently boasting 25.0 per game.
  • Dawson Knox has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (34.0).

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