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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 68.0% pass rate.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
  • Dawson Knox has run a route on 82.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has given up the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.9%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (64.9%).

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