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Dawson Knox
NFL · Player Props
Dawson Knox
TE · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 17, 2022 Updated Jan 3, 2023 1:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Dawson Knox Receiving Yards

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -117.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Dawson Knox has run a route on 75.1% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dawson Knox to total 5.2 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Dawson Knox has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (44.0).
  • Dawson Knox's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, notching just 8.00 yards-per-target vs a 9.39 figure last season.
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