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Dawson Knox
NFL · Player Props
Dawson Knox
TE · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Dawson Knox Receiving Yards

Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+115/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ +121 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +115.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.7% pass rate.
  • Dawson Knox has run a route on 75.6% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dawson Knox to earn 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
  • Dawson Knox has totaled a colossal 36.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among TEs.
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
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