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Davis Mills
NFL · Player Props
Davis Mills
QB · Houston Texans
Pass Attempts
Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Davis Mills Pass Attempts

Davis Mills Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • The Houston Texans have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
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