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Davis Mills

Davis Mills Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

Davis Mills Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Texans are an enormous 17.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The Houston Texans have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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