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Davis Mills

Davis Mills Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Davis Mills Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Davis Mills to attempt 36.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Davis Mills's passing precision has worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.1% to 60.4%.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (65.8%).

The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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