Davis Mills Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

My Account Log Out

reorder

Davis Mills

NFL · Player Props

Davis Mills

QB · Houston Texans

Carries

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Davis Mills Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the league (42.5% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Texans.
The Houston Texans offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.94 seconds per snap.
The model projects Davis Mills to be a much bigger part of his team's run game in this week's game (8.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to use backup QB Davis Mills.
The Texans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
This week, Davis Mills is forecasted by the projection model to garner the 5th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.3.
In regards to blocking for rushers (and the influence it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league last year.

More Davis Mills Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow