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David Sills

David Sills Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
David Sills Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Sills to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (15.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-most sluggish in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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