David Sills Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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David Sills

NFL · Player Props

David Sills

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

David Sills Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a big 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects David Sills to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this week (17.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.5% in games he has played).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 7.70 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the league.
The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Giants rank as the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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