David Sills Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

David Sills

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

David Sills Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects David Sills to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this week (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.4% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (162.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.07 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
David Sills has accrued a puny 13.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 21st percentile among wideouts.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (58.3%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (58.3%).