David Sills Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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David Sills

NFL · Player Props

David Sills

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Sep 30, 2022 5:00 PM UTC

Analysis

David Sills Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+421/-936).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
The Chicago Bears defense has given up the 5th-most TDs through the air in football to WRs: 1.20 per game since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-most sluggish in the NFL since the start of last season.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
David Sills grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging just 0.00 per game.

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