David Sills Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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David Sills

NFL · Player Props

David Sills

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 8:25 PM EST

Analysis

David Sills Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-1010).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
David Sills has accrued a puny 13.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 21st percentile among wideouts.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (58.3%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (58.3%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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