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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast David Njoku to garner 8.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • With an impressive 5.0 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) this year, David Njoku ranks as one of the best pass-catching TEs in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • David Njoku's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 41.5.
  • The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

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