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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% pass rate.

Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.

In this contest, David Njoku is predicted by the model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Commanders pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.9%) to tight ends since the start of last season (69.9%).

As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Washington's group of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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