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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 58.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).

In this week's game, David Njoku is projected by the model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.0 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

David Njoku's 34.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 41.5.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

This year, the fierce Steelers defense has conceded a feeble 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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