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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Browns have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 65.9 plays per game.
  • The model projects David Njoku to accumulate 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • David Njoku has been heavily involved in his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 21.6% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Browns are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • David Njoku's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 77.2% to 67.6%.
  • The Jets pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.3%) vs. tight ends this year (69.3%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the best in football.

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