David Njoku Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to garner 5.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
David Njoku's 38.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 26.5.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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